What would it cost to access TRIATLAS prediction data or models?+
TRIATLAS was publicly funded with EUR 11,000,000 under Horizon 2020 as a Research and Innovation Action. Model outputs and datasets are likely available through open-access repositories as required by EU funding rules. Licensing terms for commercial use of specific tools would need to be discussed with the University of Bergen as coordinator.
Can these predictions work at the scale my business needs?+
The models cover the entire Atlantic basin — from the tropics to the South Atlantic — which is genuinely basin-wide scale. For localized business decisions (specific fishing zones, individual port locations), you would likely need the research team to run focused regional analyses using their existing models. The 40-year prediction horizon is designed for strategic planning, not day-to-day operations.
Who owns the intellectual property and can I license these models?+
As a publicly funded RIA project, most outputs follow EU open-access requirements. The consortium of 40 partners across 14 countries jointly developed the models. For commercial licensing of specific prediction tools or datasets, the coordinator at the University of Bergen would be the first point of contact.
How reliable are 40-year ocean predictions for business planning?+
The project combined state-of-the-art climate prediction models with ecosystem models and Shared Socioeconomic Pathways — the same scenario framework used by the IPCC. Multiple scenarios were run to show a range of possible futures rather than a single prediction. This approach is standard for long-range strategic planning in climate-sensitive industries.
Is this still active or has the research team moved on?+
TRIATLAS officially closed in November 2023 after running for over four years. The research team of 34 institutions across Europe, Africa, and South America may still be involved in follow-up projects. The project website at triatlas.eu and the coordinator at University of Bergen can confirm current data availability and any successor initiatives.
Can this integrate with our existing marine monitoring systems?+
Based on available project data, TRIATLAS used existing and new physical, biological, and societal observations combined with Earth system and ecological models. The 32 deliverables likely include data formats compatible with standard oceanographic systems. Integration specifics would need to be discussed with the research team.
What regions does this actually cover?+
The consortium spans 14 countries including Norway, Germany, France, Spain, Ireland, UK, Brazil, South Africa, Senegal, Angola, Benin, Ivory Coast, and Cape Verde. This gives genuine coverage of the Tropical and South Atlantic — areas that were previously major knowledge gaps. The project explicitly aimed to close these gaps to enable understanding of the entire Atlantic basin.
