If you are a risk advisory firm dealing with unpredictable market entries in the Western Balkans — this project developed evidence-based policy recommendations that identify military and socio-economic threats. This allows you to provide clients with more accurate stability forecasts up to 2035.
Strategic Risk Intelligence for EU Market Expansion in Eastern Europe and Balkans
Imagine trying to open a shop in a neighborhood where the local gangs and big city bosses are constantly fighting for control. This project maps out who holds the real power and how they influence the area. It helps the EU create a better playbook to protect these regions and keep them moving toward a stable, shared future.
What needed solving
Companies operating in Eastern Europe and the Balkans face extreme volatility due to competing influences from Russia and China. There is a lack of evidence-based foresight to predict how EU enlargement and security policies will change the local business environment.
What was built
A set of 9 deliverables providing evidence-based policy recommendations and geopolitical scenarios up to 2035.
Who needs this
Who can put this to work
If you are a logistics company dealing with unstable corridors in the Eastern Neighbourhood — this project developed insights into security and connectivity components. This helps you identify which regions are most resilient to foreign interference before investing in physical assets.
If you are an investment bank dealing with volatile political climates in 9 neighbouring countries — this project developed scenarios and capability shortfall maps. This enables you to better price risk for long-term capital projects in these regions.
Quick answers
What is the cost or price for accessing these findings?
Based on available project data, no pricing or cost information is provided as this is an EU-funded research project.
Is there an industrial scale version of this tool?
Based on available project data, the project focuses on policy recommendations and foresight scenarios rather than a scalable industrial product.
Who owns the IP or licensing for the results?
Based on available project data, the results are generated by a consortium of 12 partners, but specific licensing terms are not listed.
What are the regulatory implications for businesses?
The project aims to strengthen the EU's foreign policy toolkit, which may lead to new regulations regarding foreign interference and integration standards in the Western Balkans and Eastern Neighbourhood.
What is the timeline for the results?
The project runs from 2024-01-01 to 2026-12-31, with foresight scenarios extending up to 2035.
Who built it
The consortium is purely academic and policy-driven, consisting of 12 partners from 12 countries. It is composed of 5 universities, 5 research organizations, and 2 other entities, with 0% industry participation and 0 SMEs. This indicates the output will be high-level strategic intelligence rather than a commercial product.
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