Imagine you own a timber company and a massive drought wipes out half your supply in one summer — that's already happening across Europe. RESONATE mapped every major forest disturbance across Europe from 1986 to 2020 and then projected what's coming until 2100 under different climate scenarios. They built online tools that show forest managers and wood-industry companies exactly which regions face the highest risk and what tree species to bet on. Think of it as a weather forecast, but for forests — decades ahead — so businesses can plan instead of panic.
European forests are getting hit harder and more often by droughts, storms, and pest outbreaks driven by climate change. Companies that depend on wood supply — from timber producers to paper mills to forest insurers — are making long-term investments based on outdated assumptions about which trees will grow where and how much wood will be available. Without reliable, forward-looking risk data, these businesses face supply disruptions, stranded assets, and mispriced risk.
RESONATE built an online map of every major forest disturbance across Europe from 1986 to 2020 (including year, severity, and cause), a forward-looking map projecting disturbance risks to the year 2100 under multiple climate scenarios, and a Resilience Dashboard for decision support. In total, the project delivered 36 deliverables across modeling, policy analysis, and management recommendations.
If you are a timber company dealing with unpredictable wood supply due to drought and pest outbreaks — this project developed online disturbance maps covering 1986 to 2020 and future projections to 2100 that show exactly which regions and tree species face the highest risk. You can use these to shift harvesting plans and species selection before losses hit your bottom line.
If you are a wood products manufacturer dealing with volatile raw material supply and changing tree species availability — this project built scenario models and a Resilience Dashboard that forecast how wood flows will change across European regions. These tools help you plan procurement strategies and diversify sourcing before supply disruptions become critical.
If you are an insurer or investor covering forest assets and worried about climate-driven losses — this project created continent-wide disturbance hotspot maps identifying frequency, severity, and likely agents of forest damage across 12 European countries. This data can sharpen your risk models and pricing for forest-related portfolios.
The online disturbance maps and underlying datasets are described as freely available for download through permanent repositories. The Resilience Dashboard is a decision-support tool developed under public EU funding, so access is expected to be open. Commercial integration or consultancy around the tools would need to be discussed with the consortium.
Yes — the disturbance maps cover all of Europe from 1986 to 2020 with projections to 2100 under multiple climate scenarios. The consortium spans 20 partners across 12 countries (AT, BE, CZ, DE, DK, ES, FI, FR, HR, IE, NL, UK), so the data and models are designed for continent-wide application, not single-site use.
The project explicitly states that map data will be stored on permanent repositories and freely available for download upon publication. As a publicly funded Research and Innovation Action, the outputs are intended for open access. Specific licensing terms for the Resilience Dashboard should be confirmed with the European Forest Institute.
The projections combine historical disturbance data from 1986 to 2020 at continental scale with simulation models run across several climate change scenarios. The modeling approaches were tested and presented across different case studies within the project's 20-partner consortium. Like any climate projection, they provide scenario ranges rather than exact predictions.
The project delivered 36 deliverables including concrete, usable outputs: an online map of historical disturbance hotspots (1986-2020), an online map of future disturbance scenarios to 2100, and a Resilience Dashboard for decision support. These are operational tools, not just academic papers.
RESONATE directly addresses the European Green Deal's goals for forest resilience and includes policy analysis as part of its deliverables. The tools and recommendations can help forest owners and companies demonstrate climate adaptation compliance and support evidence-based forest management under evolving EU forestry regulations.
The RESONATE consortium is heavily research-oriented: 10 universities and 6 research organizations make up 80% of the 20 partners across 12 European countries. There is only 1 industrial partner and zero SMEs, giving just a 5% industry ratio. This tells a business buyer that the outputs are scientifically robust — led by the European Forest Institute in Finland — but have not been stress-tested by commercial users. The geographic spread across AT, BE, CZ, DE, DK, ES, FI, FR, HR, IE, NL, and UK ensures the tools and data cover diverse European forest types, which is a plus for any company operating across borders.
The coordinator is the European Forest Institute (EFI) based in Finland — a well-known intergovernmental organization. Contact their technology transfer or partnerships office.
Want to connect with the RESONATE team for commercial data licensing or dashboard integration? SciTransfer can arrange an introduction and help you evaluate how these tools fit your risk management workflow.
