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RESCUE · Project

Risk Assessment and Effectiveness Modeling for Carbon Dioxide Removal Technologies

environmentPrototypeTRL 3Thin data (2/5)

Imagine trying to clean up a flooded basement while the faucet is still running; that's like our current climate situation. This work figures out if we can actually 'mop up' the excess CO2 from the air using different tools without causing new problems. It's like a stress test for the planet to see which cleaning methods actually work and which might accidentally break something else.

By the numbers
1.5
Target temperature limit in degrees Celsius
2
Upper target temperature limit in degrees Celsius
18
Number of consortium partners
The business problem

What needed solving

Companies investing in carbon removal lack reliable data on whether these methods actually work at scale or if they cause secondary environmental disasters. This creates massive financial risk for net-zero portfolios.

The solution

What was built

A suite of global temperature stabilization scenarios and improved climate projection models that explicitly represent carbon removal portfolios.

Audience

Who needs this

Carbon credit rating agenciesESG investment fundsGovernmental climate policy unitsLarge-scale land restoration companies
Business applications

Who can put this to work

Environmental Services
mid-size
Target: Carbon Offset Provider

If you are a carbon offset provider dealing with uncertainty over the long-term validity of your credits — this project developed a suite of temperature stabilization scenarios that quantify the actual effectiveness of different carbon removal methods. This allows for more accurate risk pricing of carbon credits.

Insurance
enterprise
Target: Climate Risk Insurer

If you are a climate risk insurer dealing with unpredictable extreme weather events — this project developed improved climate projections that explicitly represent carbon removal portfolios. This helps in predicting the reversibility of environmental changes and adjusting premiums accordingly.

Agriculture
any
Target: Industrial Land Management Firm

If you are a land management firm dealing with the transition to net-negative emissions — this project developed an assessment of the environmental risks and co-benefits of carbon removal. This ensures that land-based carbon sinks do not negatively impact biodiversity or ecosystem services.

Frequently asked

Quick answers

What is the cost or price of the developed models?

Based on available project data, no specific pricing or cost for the models is mentioned, as the results will be made freely available via existing climate services.

Can these carbon removal methods be deployed at an industrial scale?

The project specifically evaluates the feasibility and effectiveness of deploying a portfolio of carbon removal methods at a large scale in the coming decades.

Who owns the IP or licensing for the results?

Based on available project data, the results are intended to be made freely available via existing climate services, suggesting an open-access approach rather than restrictive licensing.

How does this affect regulatory compliance for net-zero targets?

The project provides key criteria for developing monitoring systems to track the effectiveness of carbon removal deployments, which is essential for regulatory verification.

What is the timeline for implementing these findings?

The project runs from 2022-09-01 to 2026-08-31, meaning the final validated results and scenarios will be available by late 2026.

Consortium

Who built it

The consortium is heavily weighted toward research and academia, consisting of 18 partners from 11 countries. With 7 universities and 11 research organizations, and 0 industrial partners (though 2 are SMEs), the project is primarily a scientific endeavor focused on modeling and data rather than commercial product development.

How to reach the team

Contact the Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC)

Next steps

Talk to the team behind this work.

Contact us to get early access to the carbon removal effectiveness criteria.

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