Imagine trying to open a shop in a neighborhood where the neighbors are fighting and outsiders are trying to trick everyone. This work acts like a neighborhood watch and a guidebook, helping the EU understand who is trying to cause trouble and how to keep the peace. It provides a map of risks so that stability can be restored and trust can be rebuilt.
Companies operating in Eastern Europe and the Balkans face extreme instability due to war and hybrid threats. There is a lack of reliable, evidence-based data to predict how EU policy changes will affect regional stability.
A set of geopolitical forecasts, scenario analyses, and a structured methodology for studying democratic resilience in 6 specific countries.
If you are a risk advisory firm dealing with unpredictable market entries in Eastern Europe — this project developed geopolitical forecasts and scenario analyses that help predict the influence of Russia, China, and Turkey. This allows for more accurate risk pricing for clients.
If you are a security provider dealing with state-sponsored disinformation — this project developed research on countering hybrid threats and misinformation campaigns. This helps in building better detection tools for clients operating in the Western Balkans and Eastern Neighbourhood.
If you are a trading company dealing with economic coercion in unstable regions — this project developed evidence-based recommendations on democratic resilience. This helps businesses identify which partner countries are becoming more stable and less prone to external interference.
Based on available project data, there is no pricing mentioned as this is an EU-funded research project with a contribution of EUR 2,982,125.
The project provides analytical tools and policy recommendations rather than a physical product, meaning its scale is based on the adoption of its strategic knowledge by policymakers and businesses.
Based on available project data, specific IP or licensing agreements are not listed; however, it is a Horizon RIA project focused on evidence-based recommendations.
The project aims to refine the EU enlargement process and neighbourhood policies, which will directly influence the regulatory environment for companies operating in the 6 case study countries.
The project is active from 2024-01-01 to 2026-12-31.
The consortium is heavily academic and research-oriented, consisting of 13 partners across 12 countries. With 5 universities and 3 research organizations, and 0 industry partners (only 1 SME), the project is designed for high-level policy analysis rather than immediate commercial product development.
Contact Norsk Utenrikspolitisk Institutt in Norway
Contact us to track the 11 deliverables for geopolitical risk intelligence.
