If you are a consultancy dealing with unpredictable market shifts in Ukraine or the Balkans — this project developed an external influence index for Russia, China, and Turkey that helps quantify regional risks.
Geopolitical Risk Intelligence and Market Entry Tools for Eastern Europe and Balkans
Imagine trying to open a shop in a neighborhood where the rules keep changing and powerful neighbors are fighting for influence. This project creates a guidebook and a set of tools to help the EU and businesses navigate these tricky areas. It uses real-world surveys and influence trackers to predict where it is safe and smart to invest.
What needed solving
Companies expanding into Eastern Europe and the Balkans face high uncertainty due to shifting geopolitical loyalties and inconsistent policy compliance. There is a lack of standardized data to measure the influence of non-EU actors on these markets.
What was built
The project is building an external influence index (Russia, China, Turkey), a social policy compliance scoreboard, and two tailor-made toolkits for policy action.
Who needs this
Who can put this to work
If you are a firm dealing with lack of consumer data in emerging markets — this project developed a public opinion survey in Ukraine that provides direct insights into local sentiment.
If you are an agency dealing with complex regulatory alignment — this project developed a social policy compliance and cohesion scoreboard to track how countries meet EU standards.
Quick answers
What is the cost or price for accessing these toolkits?
Based on available project data, there is no mention of pricing or costs for the resulting toolkits.
Is this solution available at an industrial scale?
Based on available project data, the project focuses on policy recommendations and toolkits rather than industrial-scale hardware or software.
How is the IP or licensing handled for the influence index?
Based on available project data, no specific IP or licensing terms are provided.
What is the timeline for the final results?
The project period runs from 2024-01-01 to 2026-12-31.
How will these tools integrate with existing business intelligence?
The project provides two tailor-made toolkits and a scoreboard designed to offer actionable policy recommendations.
Who built it
The consortium is heavily weighted toward research and academia, with 8 universities and 7 research institutions. However, it possesses strong regional depth, with 19 partners across 16 countries, specifically including 7 partners from high-risk target zones like Ukraine, Georgia, and the Western Balkans, ensuring the data is grounded in local reality.
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Talk to the team behind this work.
Contact us to track the release of the external influence index.