If you are a reinsurance firm dealing with unpredictable extreme weather patterns in Europe — this project developed high-resolution coupled climate models that provide better predictions of climate evolution and the risk of rapid change.
Advanced Ocean Circulation Forecasting for Climate Risk and Weather Prediction
Imagine the ocean has a giant conveyor belt that moves heat and salt around the planet to keep temperatures stable. Right now, we aren't sure if this belt is slowing down or might even stop, which would cause wild weather changes in Europe. This work uses super-detailed computer maps and old climate records to figure out exactly how this belt works so we can predict future climate shifts more accurately.
What needed solving
Current climate models have low confidence in predicting the magnitude of ocean circulation decline and whether a collapse will occur by 2100. This uncertainty makes it impossible for businesses to accurately price long-term climate risks in Europe.
What was built
High-resolution coupled climate models and a new conceptual framework for ocean circulation. It also includes a next-generation observing system for monitoring ocean variability.
Who needs this
Who can put this to work
If you are an agri-tech firm dealing with shifting temperature zones and rainfall patterns — this project developed a new way to quantify past ocean changes to better predict future weather patterns across Europe.
If you are a shipping operator dealing with changing ocean currents and heat transport — this project developed a more sustainable next-generation observing system to monitor ocean variability since 1993.
Quick answers
What is the cost or price for accessing these models?
Based on available project data, no pricing or cost structures are mentioned as this is a Horizon-RIA research project.
Is this technology ready for industrial scale deployment?
The project focuses on generating a new conceptual framework and improving model resolution; it is currently in the research and validation phase rather than industrial scale.
How is the IP and licensing handled for the new models?
Based on available project data, there are no specific details regarding IP or licensing agreements provided in the summary.
What is the timeline for the results?
The project period runs from 2022-07-01 to 2027-06-30.
How does this integrate with existing climate data?
It integrates multi-observational data since 1993 and paleo-proxies since 1950 using machine learning and high-resolution models.
Who built it
The consortium is heavily research-oriented, consisting of 25 partners across 8 countries. It is dominated by 11 universities and 9 research institutions, with a low industry presence of only 2 companies (8% ratio), including one SME. This suggests the output is primarily scientific knowledge and high-end modeling rather than a commercial off-the-shelf product.
University of Hamburg
Talk to the team behind this work.
Contact us to track the 2027 final results of these high-resolution climate models.