If you are a reinsurance firm dealing with unpredictable coastal storm surges — this project developed eddy-rich simulations that improve the attribution of extremes. This allows for more accurate risk pricing for century-scale climate events.
High-Precision Ocean Modeling for Better Climate Risk and Extreme Weather Predictions
Imagine trying to predict the weather using a map that ignores small whirlpools and swirls in the ocean. This project builds a digital version of the Earth that finally includes these swirls, which act like the ocean's weather systems. By adding this detail, we can better predict sudden climate shifts and extreme storms.
What needed solving
Current climate models ignore small-scale ocean eddies, making it difficult for businesses to predict extreme weather and climate tipping points accurately.
What was built
A set of century-scale, eddy-rich global climate simulations and a FAIR data ecosystem for efficient access via Zarr and STAC catalogues.
Who needs this
Who can put this to work
If you are a shipping operator dealing with inefficient routing due to unknown ocean currents — this project developed kilometre-scale ocean dynamics. This provides a foundation for better Digital Twins of the Earth to optimize route planning.
If you are a developer dealing with site selection for offshore assets — this project developed models that realistically represent ocean mesoscale processes. This helps in predicting long-term environmental stability and tipping points.
Quick answers
What is the cost or price for using these models?
Based on available project data, no pricing or commercial cost is mentioned as the project focuses on scientific simulations and FAIR data infrastructures.
Can this be scaled to industrial levels?
The project targets high-performance computing (HPC) and pre-exascale supercomputers, aiming for a simulation speed of 5 simulated years per day.
What are the IP and licensing terms for the software?
Based on available project data, the outputs are published through open repositories like ESGF, CEDA, and WDCC, suggesting an open-science approach.
How does this integrate with existing climate services?
The results are designed for downstream use in European climate services and Digital Twins of the Earth.
What is the timeline for the final results?
The project period runs from 2023-01-01 to 2026-12-31.
Who built it
The consortium is heavily research-oriented, consisting of 17 partners across 9 countries. It is dominated by universities (7) and research centers (7), with a very low industry presence (1 company, 6% ratio). This indicates the project is currently in a high-science phase, focusing on fundamental climate modeling rather than immediate commercial productization.
Contact Alfred-Wegener-Institut Helmholtz-Zentrum für Polar- und Meeresforschung
Talk to the team behind this work.
Contact us to explore how these high-resolution ocean datasets can refine your climate risk models.