SciTransfer
DYNAMIG · Project

Predictive Analysis of Migration Patterns and Policy Impact for Strategic Planning

otherPrototypeTRL 3Thin data (2/5)

Imagine trying to guess why someone moves house, but on a global scale. This work uses digital diaries and phone-based surveys to track the actual journey and thoughts of people moving from Africa to Europe. It helps figure out if specific training or laws actually change a person's mind about leaving home.

By the numbers
8
partners in consortium
20
total deliverables
10,000s
individuals reached via mobile tool
The business problem

What needed solving

Policies to manage migration often fail because they are based on guesses rather than how people actually make decisions. Businesses and governments lack precise data on the triggers that cause people to migrate or stay.

The solution

What was built

A mobile-device-based tool for online choice experiments and a digital diary system for tracking migrants in transit.

Audience

Who needs this

International development agenciesGovernment migration departmentsGlobal labor recruitment firmsNGOs focusing on African entrepreneurship
Business applications

Who can put this to work

EdTech & Vocational Training
SME
Target: Entrepreneurship training providers

If you are a training provider dealing with low engagement in migration-prone areas — this project developed a randomised controlled trial of an entrepreneurship training intervention in Senegal that identifies what actually motivates people to start businesses locally.

Digital Survey Services
mid-size
Target: Market research firms

If you are a research firm dealing with hard-to-reach mobile populations — this project developed a mobile-device-based tool for online choice experiments capable of reaching tens of thousands of individuals in transit countries.

Public Sector Consulting
enterprise
Target: Government policy advisors

If you are a consultant dealing with ineffective border or labor policies — this project developed a method to analyze how EU and African policies interact with migrant decision-making using textual analysis and high-level interviews.

Frequently asked

Quick answers

What is the cost or price for using the mobile tool?

Based on available project data, there is no pricing information provided as this is a research-funded project.

Can this be scaled to other regions outside Africa?

The project specifically focuses on Africa as the primary region of origin, but the mobile-device-based tool for choice experiments is designed to handle tens of thousands of individuals, suggesting technical scalability.

Are there patents or licenses available for the digital diary method?

Based on available project data, no patents or licensing terms are mentioned; the project focuses on joint knowledge creation.

How does this help with regulatory compliance?

The project analyzes the design of EU and Member State policies to identify gaps, helping organizations align their operations with more effective policy directions.

What is the timeline for the results?

The project runs from 2023-01-01 to 2025-12-31, with initial data collection phases occurring in the first 12 months.

Consortium

Who built it

The consortium is purely academic and research-driven, consisting of 8 partners from 8 countries. With 5 universities and 3 research centers and 0% industry participation, the project is heavily weighted toward theoretical and causal discovery rather than immediate commercial productization.

How to reach the team

Contact the Institut fuer Weltwirtschaft Leibniz Zentrum in Germany

Next steps

Talk to the team behind this work.

Contact us to find out how to apply these migration decision-making models to your regional strategy.