SciTransfer
CERISE · Project

AI-Enhanced Climate Forecasting and Land-Atmosphere Data Integration for Better Seasonal Predictions

environmentTestedTRL 5

Imagine trying to predict the weather by looking at the air but ignoring the soil and plants beneath it. This project connects those two pieces, using AI to blend satellite data with ground conditions. It's like giving a weather app a high-resolution map of the earth's moisture and vegetation to make long-term forecasts much more accurate.

By the numbers
12
consortium partners
15
total deliverables
9
countries involved
The business problem

What needed solving

Current seasonal climate forecasts often lack consistency between land and atmosphere data, leading to inaccurate long-term predictions for water and agriculture. This creates financial risk for industries relying on precise environmental forecasting.

The solution

What was built

AI-powered observation operators and coupled land-atmosphere data assimilation systems. Concrete outputs include ERA6-Land and Arctic CARRA-Land-Pv1 prototype datasets.

Audience

Who needs this

Precision agriculture software developersClimate risk insurance underwritersHydrological monitoring agenciesCommodity traders specializing in crops
Business applications

Who can put this to work

Agriculture
mid-size
Target: Agri-tech precision farming provider

If you are an agri-tech provider dealing with unpredictable crop yields due to soil moisture shifts — this project developed land-atmosphere coupled data assimilation that improves seasonal forecast skill. This allows for more precise planting and irrigation schedules based on better Earth system products.

Insurance
enterprise
Target: Agricultural and Climate Risk Insurer

If you are an insurer dealing with high payouts from unexpected droughts — this project developed reanalysis prototype datasets and seasonal prediction demonstrators. These tools provide a more consistent history of climate variables to better price risk and predict disaster events.

Water Management
any
Target: Regional Water Utility

If you are a utility company dealing with reservoir depletion — this project developed diagnostic tools including integrated hydrological variables. This helps in predicting water availability over several months with higher accuracy than traditional skill scores.

Frequently asked

Quick answers

What is the cost or price for using these tools?

Based on available project data, no pricing or cost information is provided as the project focuses on upgrading the C3S operational service.

Is this technology ready for industrial scale?

The project is delivering proof-of-concept prototypes and demonstrators to show feasibility for integration into the core C3S operational service.

What are the IP and licensing terms?

Based on available project data, specific licensing terms are not mentioned, but the outputs are intended for the evolution of the Copernicus Climate Change Service.

How will this be integrated into existing systems?

Integration is being tested through the delivery of reanalysis prototype datasets in pre-operational environments and seasonal prediction demonstrators in relevant environments.

What is the timeline for full deployment?

The project runs from 2023-01-01 to 2026-12-31, with targeted progressive implementation of upgrades over these three years and beyond.

Consortium

Who built it

The consortium is heavily research-oriented, consisting of 12 partners across 9 countries. It is dominated by research organizations (8) and other entities (3), with only 1 industry partner and 1 SME, resulting in a low industry ratio of 8%. This suggests the project is primarily focused on scientific advancement and operational service upgrades rather than immediate commercial productization.

How to reach the team

Contact the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) in the UK.

Next steps

Talk to the team behind this work.

Contact us to explore how these C3S climate upgrades can improve your seasonal risk modeling.

More in Environment & Climate
See all Environment & Climate projects