SciTransfer
AMIGDALA · Project

Predictive Modeling Tool for Industrial Transition to Climate Neutrality and Circularity

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Imagine trying to navigate a giant ship through a storm where the wind, waves, and currents all change at once. This project builds a high-tech map that predicts how laws, trade, and new tech will affect factories over the next few decades. It helps business leaders see which path leads to profit and which leads to a dead end.

By the numbers
2050
EU climate-neutrality target year
2070
Model projection horizon
1990
Historical data start point
The business problem

What needed solving

Industrial leaders struggle to predict how complex interactions between global trade, demand, and new policies will affect their profitability during the transition to climate neutrality.

The solution

What was built

An integrated computer modeling system that combines separate domain models into one to simulate industrial transformation pathways.

Audience

Who needs this

Heavy industry CEOsGovernment policy advisorsEnergy infrastructure plannersSustainability officers in manufacturing
Business applications

Who can put this to work

Chemicals
enterprise
Target: Basic process industry plant

If you are a basic process industry plant dealing with the shift away from fossil fuels — this project developed an integrated model that identifies the conditions needed for sustainable solutions to succeed in the market.

Energy
enterprise
Target: Utility operator

If you are a utility operator dealing with infrastructure planning — this project developed local-level models to analyze decisions on where to build infrastructure to support industrial clusters.

Waste Management
SME
Target: Biomass and waste processor

If you are a biomass processor dealing with fluctuating feedstock availability — this project developed a system to analyze material flows and the combined effect of policy on production.

Frequently asked

Quick answers

What is the cost or price of using this modeling tool?

Based on available project data, there is no information regarding the pricing or cost of the software tools developed.

Can this be used for industrial scale planning?

Yes, the project provides an integrated model to represent EU industry transformation pathways up to 2070 and analyzes decisions at both the EU systems-level and local industry clusters.

How is the IP and licensing handled for the simulation software?

Based on available project data, specific licensing terms and IP ownership are not disclosed.

How does this help with EU Green Deal regulations?

The tool analyzes how regulatory measures and incentives affect industrial production, helping companies align their investment in capital projects with 2050 climate-neutrality goals.

What is the timeline for the project results?

The project is active from 2024-01-01 to 2027-12-31.

Consortium

Who built it

The project is led by TNO (NL) and features a strong industrial presence with 6 industry partners (46% ratio), including 3 SMEs. With 13 partners across 8 countries and a mix of 6 research organizations and 1 university, the group is well-balanced to bridge the gap between academic simulation and real-world industrial application.

How to reach the team

Contact TNO (Netherlands Organisation for Applied Scientific Research)

Next steps

Talk to the team behind this work.

Contact us to track the development of this industrial modeling tool.

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