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AI4PEX · Project

AI-Powered Climate Prediction Tools for Better Risk Assessment and Environmental Planning

environmentPrototypeTRL 3Thin data (2/5)

Imagine trying to predict the weather using a map that has a few blurry spots; those spots are where our current climate models struggle. This work uses AI to fill in those gaps, specifically focusing on how clouds, oceans, and forests react to heat. It's like giving a weather forecaster a high-definition lens to see extreme events coming more clearly.

By the numbers
90 %
heat in the Earth system that goes into the ocean
20-year
AMIP runs used to reduce cloud and radiation biases
The business problem

What needed solving

Current climate models have high uncertainty regarding how much the Earth will warm and how heat is absorbed by oceans. This makes it difficult for businesses to predict long-term environmental risks and societal impacts.

The solution

What was built

Beta versions of ML-enhanced observational data streams, a neural-network river-discharge prototype, and AI-integrated cloud and ocean schemes for ESMs.

Audience

Who needs this

Climate risk analystsEnvironmental consultancy firmsGovernmental urban planning agenciesAgricultural commodity traders
Business applications

Who can put this to work

Insurance
enterprise
Target: Reinsurance and Catastrophe Modeling Firm

If you are a reinsurance firm dealing with unpredictable extreme weather losses — this project developed ML-enhanced observational data and better process representations that improve the accuracy of climate extremes projections. This allows for more precise risk pricing and capital reserve planning.

Agriculture
mid-size
Target: Agri-Tech Data Provider

If you are a data provider dealing with unpredictable crop yields due to carbon cycle shifts — this project developed hybrid parameterisations for photosynthesis and biomass dynamics. This helps in creating more reliable long-term land productivity forecasts.

Maritime Logistics
enterprise
Target: Global Shipping Fleet Operator

If you are a fleet operator dealing with changing ocean currents and heat transport — this project developed 4D fields of temperature and carbon transport using AI. This provides better data for optimizing long-term route planning based on ocean heat uptake.

Frequently asked

Quick answers

What is the cost or price for using these AI models?

Based on available project data, no pricing or cost structure is mentioned as the project is a research-driven Horizon-RIA initiative.

Can this be deployed at an industrial scale?

The project has produced beta products and prototypes, such as a neural-network river-discharge prototype, but full industrial scaling is not yet detailed.

How is the IP and licensing handled for the ML schemes?

Based on available project data, specific licensing terms are not provided; however, it involves 20 partners across 10 countries.

How does this integrate with existing climate software?

The project integrates AI into existing models like ICON-A-MLe, HadGEM3-GC5.0/UKESM, and NEMO to reduce radiation biases and improve eddy closures.

What is the timeline for the final results?

The project is scheduled to run from 2024-04-01 to 2028-03-31.

Consortium

Who built it

The consortium is heavily academic, consisting of 20 partners from 10 countries, with 12 universities and 5 research organizations. There is a 0% industry ratio, meaning the current output is focused on scientific breakthroughs rather than immediate commercial products, though the scale of the network suggests high-quality validation.

How to reach the team

Contact Max-Planck-Gesellschaft zur Förderung der Wissenschaften EV

Next steps

Talk to the team behind this work.

Contact us to find a bridge between these academic beta products and your industrial application.

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