MANFRED MUDELSEE

Their core work

Climate Risk Analysis is the consultancy of Dr. Manfred Mudelsee, a specialist in statistical analysis of climate and environmental time series. The firm's core contribution is applying rigorous quantitative methods — bootstrap resampling, kernel estimation, and extreme value statistics — to climate records in order to detect, quantify, and characterize hydro-climatic extremes such as floods, droughts, and temperature events. In research consortia, they serve as the statistical methods expert, providing both analytical capability and training to partner teams. More recently, the firm has extended its scope into climate education, contributing to the development of European competency frameworks for environmental literacy.

What they specialise in

How they've shifted over time

In their first H2020 project (2020–2023), the focus was squarely technical: hydro-climatic extremes, temperature statistics, and data-driven climate research. By 2022, with GreenSCENT, the work shifted toward translating that scientific knowledge into public and professional education — specifically a European competency framework for climate literacy. This two-step arc — from climate data specialist to climate knowledge communicator — is a meaningful expansion, suggesting the firm is positioning itself at the interface of climate science and applied training rather than remaining a pure research supplier.

The firm is moving from specialist statistical research contributor toward climate knowledge translation — making them relevant not just for scientific consortia but also for education, training, and science communication projects.

How they like to work

Climate Risk Analysis participates exclusively as a consortium partner — never as coordinator across its two H2020 projects — which reflects the typical profile of a specialist consultancy brought in for defined technical or advisory contributions. Despite only two projects, they have engaged with 17 distinct partners across 12 countries, indicating broad reach within European climate and education networks. This suggests they are valued as a named expert contributor rather than a project driver, and are comfortable operating within larger, multi-country teams where they deliver a specific, bounded scope of work.

With 17 unique consortium partners across 12 countries from just two projects, Climate Risk Analysis has a surprisingly wide European network for a firm of its size. Their connections span both the climate research community (via EXtremeClimTwin twinning partners) and the environmental education sector (via GreenSCENT's pan-European expert network).

What sets them apart

Climate Risk Analysis occupies a rare niche as a private scientific consultancy specialising in the statistical end of climate research — not modelling, not field measurement, but the rigorous quantitative analysis of climate time series and extreme events. This focus on statistical methodology, backed by Dr. Mudelsee's academic reputation and published work in the field, makes them a credible and independent technical partner that larger institutional consortia often lack internally. For project coordinators who need a named methods expert rather than another university partner, this firm offers that precision without the overhead of an academic institution.

Highlights from their portfolio

• GreenSCENT
  The largest funding award (EUR 274,312) and the project that marks the firm's expansion into climate education, contributing to a European competency certification concept for environmental skills.
• EXtremeClimTwin
  A Twinning action focused on data-driven hydro-climatic extremes research — directly in the firm's core statistical expertise and the project that established their H2020 presence.